![]() But when it comes to visuals, sometimes Nate Gets It, sometimes he Doesn’t Get It. It’s clear when it comes to handling data and predictive analysis that Nate Gets It. Nate has a clear bias in his blog entries, but he goes to great lengths to keep the stats balanced. Those of you who are into predictive modeling may want to look here-just scroll down to “Process Overview” and keep reading. After that, it gets much more complicated. To account for all of this, Nate weighs each poll based on its past performance vs actual results. We also know that some polling agencies are more or less reliable than others. For instance, we learned in 2000 that the electoral college can be more important than the popular vote. This isn’t as simple as averaging a bunch of numbers. You see, Nate has a method for compiling all of the political polls into a model and predicting the elections if they were held today. The power of this site is not so much the blog entries, but the collection of charts and graphs displayed on the edges of the site. ![]() And it’s not just me to be a blog launched in March 2008 and on Blogpulse’s top 10 linked-to blogs is quite an achievement.į is run by Nate Silver, a baseball statistician best known for developing a system to forecast the performance of baseball players. Every time this happens, I find a few web sites that feed my need for political information. ![]() During a Senatorial or Presidential election cycle, I get a little obsessed and end up having to check in on the pulse of the nation regularly. ![]()
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